Re: [SystemSafety] FW: How safe is safe?

From: Dominey, Alan (UK) < >
Date: Wed, 8 May 2013 10:09:26 +0000

        Terje Aven's Misconceptions of Risk

        Look for the .pdf download at the following (partial) URL
        didel.script.univ-paris-diderot.fr/claroline/backends/download.php?...


        Alan G. Dominey
        Electrical Safety Engineer 

        Torpedo Capability Contract Project Surveillance Manager         Spearfish Safety Group

        BAE Systems, Maritime Services

-----Original Message-----
Sent: 08 May 2013 10:41
To: Rob Alexander; systemsafety_at_xxxxxx Subject: Re: [SystemSafety] FW: How safe is safe?

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Rob,

On 5/8/13 11:22 AM, Rob Alexander wrote:
> Drew, John McDermid about this recently published a paper on the
> validity of PRA ---
> http://www-users.cs.york.ac.uk/~rda/PSAM%20QRA%20paper%20final.pdf --- in summary, there are a lot of big claims made about the value of PRA and precious little evidence to support them.

Thanks for the reminder about your paper. People might like to know that one of the significant sources you reference, Terje Aven's Misconceptions of Risk, at which Andy might well like to take a look, is available in (what I think is) full on the WWW. I don't know what Terje thinks of this (let alone his publisher).

PBL Prof. Peter Bernard Ladkin, Faculty of Technology, University of Bielefeld, 33594 Bielefeld, Germany Tel+msg +49 (0)521 880 7319 www.rvs.uni-bielefeld.de



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systemsafety_at_xxxxxx Received on Wed May 08 2013 - 14:38:28 CEST

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