Re: [SystemSafety] How Many Miles of Driving Would It Take to Demonstrate Autonomous Vehicle Reliability?

From: Matthew Squair < >
Date: Mon, 18 Apr 2016 22:03:47 +1000


Sure, making a bunch of assumptions.

But I'd personally be comfortable after a couple of months of realistic road trials.

Matthew Squair

MIEAust, CPEng
Mob: +61 488770655
Email; Mattsquair_at_xxxxxx
Web: http://criticaluncertainties.com

> On 18 Apr 2016, at 5:54 PM, Martyn Thomas <martyn_at_xxxxxx >

>> On 18/04/2016 08:25, Peter Bishop wrote:
>> According to the Rand graph, we would need 1 million miles for a 95%
>> confidence that the driverless car crash rate is a least as good as a
>> driven one.
>> i.e. a fleet of 100 cars driving 10000 miles each for one year.

>
>
> ... under the same range and frequency of conditions as the comparable
> fleet with human drivers.
>
> Martyn
>
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systemsafety_at_xxxxxx Received on Mon Apr 18 2016 - 14:04:02 CEST

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